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AI Evaluation Framework — Measuring Quality, Risk, and ROI

February 11, 202611 min readPertama Partners

A comprehensive framework for evaluating AI initiatives across three dimensions: output quality, risk exposure, and return on investment. Designed for companies in Malaysia and Singapore.

AI Evaluation Framework — Measuring Quality, Risk, and ROI

Why a Multi-Dimensional Evaluation Framework?

Most companies evaluate AI in one dimension — either they focus on ROI (how much money does it save?), risk (what could go wrong?), or quality (does it produce good outputs?). But evaluating in only one dimension leads to poor decisions:

  • ROI-only evaluation leads to adopting high-risk AI applications that save money today but create legal or reputational problems tomorrow
  • Risk-only evaluation leads to paralysis — nothing gets approved because every AI tool has some risk
  • Quality-only evaluation leads to adopting impressive technology that delivers no measurable business value

This framework evaluates AI initiatives across all three dimensions simultaneously, giving leadership a balanced view for decision-making.

The Three Dimensions

Dimension 1: Quality

Quality measures how well the AI system performs its intended function. This includes output accuracy, consistency, reliability, and fitness for purpose.

Dimension 2: Risk

Risk measures the potential negative consequences of AI use, including data privacy exposure, regulatory compliance, bias, security vulnerabilities, and operational dependencies.

Dimension 3: ROI

ROI measures the business value delivered by the AI system relative to its cost. This includes time savings, cost reduction, revenue impact, and strategic value.

Quality Evaluation

Quality Metrics

MetricDescriptionHow to Measure
AccuracyPercentage of AI outputs that are factually correctSample 50+ outputs, verify against ground truth
ConsistencySame input produces similar quality outputRun identical prompts 10 times, compare variation
CompletenessOutputs contain all required informationReview against task requirements checklist
RelevanceOutputs address the actual question/taskExpert review of sample outputs
UsabilityOutputs can be used with minimal editingMeasure edit time before output is usable
LatencyTime from input to outputAutomated measurement

Quality Scoring

ScoreRatingDescription
5Excellent>95% accuracy, minimal editing needed, fast and consistent
4Good85-95% accuracy, light editing, generally reliable
3Acceptable70-85% accuracy, moderate editing, some inconsistency
2Poor50-70% accuracy, significant editing, unreliable
1Unacceptable<50% accuracy, outputs frequently wrong or unusable

Quality Testing Protocol

Pre-deployment testing:

  1. Define 20-30 representative test cases covering the full range of expected inputs
  2. Run each test case through the AI system
  3. Have a subject matter expert evaluate each output against the quality criteria
  4. Calculate aggregate scores for each metric
  5. Document edge cases and failure modes

Ongoing monitoring:

  1. Sample 5-10% of production outputs weekly for quality review
  2. Track quality metrics over time to detect degradation
  3. Re-test after any vendor update or configuration change
  4. Collect user feedback on output quality (thumbs up/down or rating)

Risk Evaluation

Risk Categories and Metrics

CategoryKey QuestionsSeverity
Data privacyDoes it process personal data? Where is data stored? Is data used for training?High
Regulatory complianceDoes use comply with PDPA, MAS, BNM, and industry regulations?High
Bias and fairnessCould outputs discriminate against protected groups?High
SecurityIs the tool properly secured? Are there vulnerabilities?High
Accuracy riskWhat happens if the output is wrong? What is the downstream impact?Medium-High
Vendor dependencyWhat happens if the vendor shuts down or changes terms?Medium
ReputationalCould AI use damage the company's reputation with clients or public?Medium
IP and copyrightAre there intellectual property risks with AI-generated content?Medium

Risk Scoring

Use the risk scoring matrix from the AI Risk Assessment Template:

  • Likelihood (1-5): How likely is this risk to materialise?
  • Impact (1-5): If it materialises, how severe is the impact?
  • Risk Score = Likelihood x Impact (1-25)

Aggregate risk rating:

  • 1-8: Low risk — proceed with standard monitoring
  • 9-15: Medium risk — implement mitigations before scaling
  • 16-25: High risk — requires executive approval and significant controls

ROI Evaluation

ROI Calculation Framework

Direct Cost Savings

Cost CategoryCalculation
Time saved(Hours saved per week × hourly cost × 52 weeks)
Headcount avoided(FTE equivalent × annual fully-loaded cost)
Error reduction(Errors avoided × average cost per error)
Outsourcing reduced(Outsourced work replaced × annual outsourcing cost)

Revenue Impact

Revenue CategoryCalculation
Faster time to market(Days saved × daily revenue opportunity)
Improved conversion(Conversion improvement × revenue per customer)
Customer retention(Churn reduction × lifetime customer value)
New capabilities(New revenue enabled × projected annual revenue)

Total Cost of Ownership

Cost CategoryCalculation
Software licences(Per user cost × number of users × 12 months)
Implementation(Setup, configuration, integration hours × hourly rate)
Training(Training cost per person × number of people)
Ongoing support(Support hours per month × hourly rate × 12)
Governance overhead(Governance time per month × hourly rate × 12)

Net ROI

Annual Net Benefit = (Direct Cost Savings + Revenue Impact) - Total Cost of Ownership

ROI Percentage = (Annual Net Benefit / Total Cost of Ownership) × 100

Payback Period = Total Cost of Ownership / (Monthly Net Benefit)

ROI Scoring

ScoreROI RatingDescription
5ExceptionalROI > 300%, payback < 3 months
4StrongROI 150-300%, payback 3-6 months
3PositiveROI 50-150%, payback 6-12 months
2MarginalROI 0-50%, payback 12-18 months
1NegativeROI < 0% or payback > 18 months

Combined Evaluation Matrix

Plot each AI initiative on a three-dimensional evaluation:

AI InitiativeQuality (1-5)Risk (1-25, inverted)ROI (1-5)Overall Recommendation
[Initiative 1][Score][Score][Score][Proceed / Caution / Stop]
[Initiative 2][Score][Score][Score][Proceed / Caution / Stop]

Decision Rules

QualityRiskROIRecommendation
4-5Low (1-8)4-5Proceed — scale aggressively
4-5Low (1-8)2-3Proceed — monitor ROI closely
3-5Medium (9-15)3-5Proceed with caution — implement risk mitigations
AnyHigh (16-25)AnyStop — address risk before proceeding
1-2AnyAnyStop — quality is insufficient
3-5Low (1-8)1Reconsider — explore alternatives with better ROI

Implementation

Step 1: Baseline Assessment

Before deploying an AI initiative, establish baseline measurements for quality, risk, and cost metrics.

Step 2: Pilot Evaluation

After a pilot period (typically 4-8 weeks), conduct a full evaluation using this framework.

Step 3: Ongoing Monitoring

For deployed AI initiatives, conduct evaluations quarterly or when significant changes occur.

Step 4: Portfolio Review

Present the combined evaluation matrix to leadership quarterly, covering all active AI initiatives.

Frequently Asked Questions

AI ROI is calculated as: (Annual Direct Cost Savings + Revenue Impact - Total Cost of Ownership) / Total Cost of Ownership × 100. Key components include time saved, headcount avoided, error reduction, licence costs, implementation costs, and training costs. Most companies see 100-300% ROI on well-targeted AI initiatives.

For most business applications, a quality score of 4 (Good: 85-95% accuracy, light editing needed) is the minimum for production use. A score of 3 (Acceptable: 70-85% accuracy) may be sufficient for internal drafts that will be heavily reviewed. Scores below 3 indicate the AI tool is not suitable for that use case.

AI initiatives should be evaluated at three stages: pre-deployment (before launch), post-pilot (after 4-8 weeks), and ongoing (quarterly). Additionally, re-evaluate whenever there is a significant vendor update, a change in use case scope, an incident, or a change in regulatory requirements.

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